I think I'm going to put a couple dollars each on the four Cameron's in the tournament. Cameron Champ, Cameron Davis, Cameron Smith, Cameron Young. I'll put a little down on Koepka since every time I don't bet him he wins a major. The Koreans have seemed to do pretty well at the Masters the last few years. I'll probably bet Si Woo Kim since it looks like he could be the best of that group this year. I'll probably bet him to finish in the top 10. I believe he finished second at Augusta a few years ago. I'm laying off betting Rahm since the favorite hasn't won the Masters since 2005. Thomas looks like the best of the top faves, although I think if Koepka is 100% healthy he can beat all of these guys. I kind of like Shane Lowery as a longshot. I'm just not sure he's in good enough shape to handle 4 days of the hilly Augusta course without fading down the stretch. Still looking for one more longshot. It feels kind of like a longshot week.
Lots of very strong trends past 14 years
Past 14 winners before tournament all T60 SG approach, T2G and Sxoring average.
OWGR past 11 years top 25 golfer. Usually a T10 golfer.
Winner already
Or
Several T10’s
Strong showing Florida swing T5 or T10
I ran history of stats previous winners on 11 different categories and ...
Cam Smith crushed about every one going 9 of 11. JT was 10 of 11 but lacked few other trends. Rahm obviously checked out well. Cantlay was very strong in showing.
Rahm is a guy to keep eye on. Come Saturday if he is 5-6 shots back I’d jump on it for much better value than opening odds. He is notorious for creeping up when you think he is out of it. Believe it was the BMW 2 years ago I recommend same scenario to keep eye on on tougher courses. He was 80-1 going in Saturday and took Down DJ
The weather and wind will be a factor for PM guys Friday more so than today. Little patience and some great value may open up for elite guys 4-6 shots back. They will get much better conditions Saturday. And Sunday will be about perfect. They can make a run and you can gain much better odds.
The masters as they say starts Sunday on back 9. I’d be sure and check value and odds of some of the guys with Distance, ranked in top 15 OWGR and plenty course history who may be 4-6 shots back after Friday
Some inside the ropes rumors are DJ and Rory aren’t quite in it mentally past several weeks.
Wouldn’t be shocked if early early wave has RD 1 leader. Several guys with distance that can Over come wet conditions and take advantage of soft greens with 100-1 odds
Higgo
Macintyre
Straka
Young
Past 14 winners before tournament all T60 SG approach, T2G and Sxoring average.
OWGR past 11 years top 25 golfer. Usually a T10 golfer.
Winner already
Or
Several T10’s
Strong showing Florida swing T5 or T10
I ran history of stats previous winners on 11 different categories and ...
Cam Smith crushed about every one going 9 of 11. JT was 10 of 11 but lacked few other trends. Rahm obviously checked out well. Cantlay was very strong in showing.
Rahm is a guy to keep eye on. Come Saturday if he is 5-6 shots back I’d jump on it for much better value than opening odds. He is notorious for creeping up when you think he is out of it. Believe it was the BMW 2 years ago I recommend same scenario to keep eye on on tougher courses. He was 80-1 going in Saturday and took Down DJ
The weather and wind will be a factor for PM guys Friday more so than today. Little patience and some great value may open up for elite guys 4-6 shots back. They will get much better conditions Saturday. And Sunday will be about perfect. They can make a run and you can gain much better odds.
The masters as they say starts Sunday on back 9. I’d be sure and check value and odds of some of the guys with Distance, ranked in top 15 OWGR and plenty course history who may be 4-6 shots back after Friday
Some inside the ropes rumors are DJ and Rory aren’t quite in it mentally past several weeks.
Wouldn’t be shocked if early early wave has RD 1 leader. Several guys with distance that can Over come wet conditions and take advantage of soft greens with 100-1 odds
Higgo
Macintyre
Straka
Young
Great insight.
From the elite like Thomas , Brooks. Crazy value with dechambeau .
Don't like anyone with a questionable short game .don't like any first timers so no to Burns , he has a solid game. Hovland is a ball striking machine , but short game is his achiles heal . He wins a major eventually but better suited at another layout .
With the added length and soft conditions pretty sure we see a Sunday leaderboard filled with bombers .
Young is in form and hits it a mile , first trip here .
From the elite like Thomas , Brooks. Crazy value with dechambeau .
Don't like anyone with a questionable short game .don't like any first timers so no to Burns , he has a solid game. Hovland is a ball striking machine , but short game is his achiles heal . He wins a major eventually but better suited at another layout .
With the added length and soft conditions pretty sure we see a Sunday leaderboard filled with bombers .
Young is in form and hits it a mile , first trip here .
14 past 14 winners ranked in top 60 SG approach, SGtG and scoring average
Only guys in all 3 T60 better
Cam
JT
Burns Debut Under 26
Nasty Yams Hurt Rare repeat anyways
Big Z Hard follow up 2nd only 2nd start Under 26
Niemann Under 26
Morikawa Doesn’t seem olay well East coast Under 26
Scottie Under 26 Ranked #1
Henley Not a T25 OWGR
Berger
Rahm
Conners
Hovland Under 26
Only Tiger and Speith of past several years won under 26. Sweet spot to win is OWGR TOP 25 and 6th-7th start.
Come Saturday Cam, Rahm or JT if a few strokes off will hold better value and fit trends past 14 years along with other past winner stats past 10-14 years.
JT Top 10 in all but 1.
Cam Top 10 in all but 2
Rahm Top 10 in 6 of 11
Cantlay Top 10 in 6 of 11
Guys are also good Bentgrass putters. And carry good course knowledge
Scoring avg 2nd
Scrambling 6th
Par 4 scoring 2nd
Par 5 scoring 3rd
Par 5 birdie better 7th
GIR 6th
3 putt avoidance 28th
Sgtg 2nd
Sg approach 5th
Distance 7th
Bogey avoidance 1st
Few guys keep eye on if weather hits and puts em 4-5 shots off going into Saturday. Masters has huge lead swings in leaderboard over final 2 days.
Only guys in all 3 T60 better
Cam
JT
Burns Debut Under 26
Nasty Yams Hurt Rare repeat anyways
Big Z Hard follow up 2nd only 2nd start Under 26
Niemann Under 26
Morikawa Doesn’t seem olay well East coast Under 26
Scottie Under 26 Ranked #1
Henley Not a T25 OWGR
Berger
Rahm
Conners
Hovland Under 26
Only Tiger and Speith of past several years won under 26. Sweet spot to win is OWGR TOP 25 and 6th-7th start.
Come Saturday Cam, Rahm or JT if a few strokes off will hold better value and fit trends past 14 years along with other past winner stats past 10-14 years.
JT Top 10 in all but 1.
Cam Top 10 in all but 2
Rahm Top 10 in 6 of 11
Cantlay Top 10 in 6 of 11
Guys are also good Bentgrass putters. And carry good course knowledge
Scoring avg 2nd
Scrambling 6th
Par 4 scoring 2nd
Par 5 scoring 3rd
Par 5 birdie better 7th
GIR 6th
3 putt avoidance 28th
Sgtg 2nd
Sg approach 5th
Distance 7th
Bogey avoidance 1st
Few guys keep eye on if weather hits and puts em 4-5 shots off going into Saturday. Masters has huge lead swings in leaderboard over final 2 days.
I like Cameron Smith and have a couple bucks on him. But my concern with him is just coming off winning the Players and dealing with the distractions for the last couple of weeks. I've got a couple of match play bets today with Fleetwood over Bubba and Kevin Na over Kisner. I've also got Sung Jae Im over Si Woo Kim, but I still think Kim will be around the leaderboard in the end if he can play the windy conditions. Seems like the conditions would favor the Aussies and the Texans. Sheffler and Scott should like the playing conditions.
Tiger using the more methodical approach vs out bombing everyone is serving him well so far. I know his aim is always to win, but first things first, I think he mainly wants to make the cut this weekend. I just give him credit for showing up. He nearly died 14 months ago, and at this point, between all of the operations he's had, I think he's more machine than man.
Doesnt have confidence in the driver , that is clear. Pulled out 3-wood at holes he'd hit driver normally-- inclduing 2, 13, 11. Two-way miss, gotta get that sorted . 72 would be very good score this point. getttign past 12 at even had to be eyeing red figures. 14, 15 tee shots hurt
need him to make the cut,lol
need him to make the cut,lol
